AA Alcoadata gap · 92% coverage
Materials · Aluminum · close $41.45 (2026-10-16) · latest quarter in EDGAR: 2026-06-30
Alcoa (AA) has a ThetaGrade House Rating of 56/100 (grade C), ranking #29 of 57 in Materials. Its strongest pillars are valuation (92) and balance sheet (58); its weakest is profitability (33). Data gap: 2 factors without usable data, so 92% of the method weight is covered. TTM revenue growth is 6.5% and operating margin 9.8%.
Data as of .
Data gap
No usable data for: Consensus score (1–5), 90-day net rating shift. Data gap: no usable data for this factor, so it is left out and its weight is shared among the factors that do have data (no value is imputed). 92% of the full method weight is backed by data.
Analyst sentiment
weight 7.5% · no data · —| Consensus score (1–5) (0.0%)data gap | derived | — |
| 90-day net rating shift (0.0%)data gap | derived | — |
Growth
weight 30.83% (→33.3%) · 56| Revenue growth YoY (TTM) (13.3%) | 6.5% | 42 |
| EPS growth YoY (TTM) (13.3%) | 13.2% | 50 |
| Revenue acceleration (6.7%) | 36.6% | 98 |
Profitability
weight 18.5% (→20.0%) · 33| Operating margin (10.7%) | 9.8% | 35 |
| 4Q gross-margin change (9.3%) | -1.4% | 30 |
Balance sheet
weight 18.5% (→20.0%) · 58| Net debt / EBITDA (10.7%) | 0.55× | 74 |
| Current ratio (5.3%) | 1.53 | 29 |
| Interest coverage (4.0%) | 8.46× | 53 |
Cash flow
weight 12.33% (→13.3%) · 55| FCF margin (6.7%) | 4.4% | 39 |
| FCF yield (6.7%) | 5.2% | 70 |
Valuation
weight 12.33% (→13.3%) · 92| P/E (inverted) (6.7%) | 8.62× | 95 |
| EV/Sales (inverted) (6.7%) | 0.88× | 90 |
Technicals (EOD)
| RSI(14) | 38.4 |
| EMA 9 / 21 | 41.57 / 42.93 |
| 200-day SMA | 57.52 |
| Volume vs 20d avg | 3.02× |
| 20-day return | -11.8% |
Exit-rule monitor
- EXITRating break: House Rating below 60
- WATCHTrend: close below 200-day average
Data source per metric (SEC XBRL tag or derivation): Revenue: RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax · Gross profit: Revenue − CostOfGoodsAndServiceExcludingDepreciationDepletionAndAmortization · Operating income: Pretax income + interest expense (EBIT proxy) · Interest expense: InterestExpense · D&A: DepreciationDepletionAndAmortization · EPS: EarningsPerShareDiluted · Market cap: SEC shares (dei EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding (cover page)) × EOD close · P/E: EOD close ÷ SEC TTM EPS (EarningsPerShareDiluted).
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FAQ
- What is AA's House Rating?
- AA scores 56 out of 100 (grade C) as of 2026-10-16, ranking #29 of 57 Materials stocks we cover.
- What do analysts say about AA?
- We do not have enough analyst-sentiment data to score this stock.
- When does AA report earnings next?
- AA's next earnings report is estimated for about 2027-01-21 (window 2027-01-15 to 2027-01-31), based on its past SEC 8-K earnings filings. This is an estimate, not a company-confirmed date.
- Is AA a buy?
- ThetaGrade does not give personal advice. The House Rating is an educational, rules-based summary of public data; see the methodology for how it is built.
Sources: SEC EDGAR filings (fetched 2026-10-18), Finnhub recommendation trends, Massive EOD prices. Scores are sector percentiles; a factor without usable data is a data gap: it is left out and the remaining weights are renormalized (nothing is imputed). Educational only. Methodology