CMG Chipotle Mexican Grilldata gap · 88% coverage
Consumer Discretionary · Restaurants · close $29.89 (2026-10-16) · latest quarter in EDGAR: 2026-06-30
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) has a ThetaGrade House Rating of 50/100 (grade C), ranking #23 of 128 in Consumer Discretionary. Its strongest pillars are profitability (65) and cash flow (58); its weakest is valuation (25). Data gap: 2 factors without usable data, so 88% of the method weight is covered. TTM revenue growth is 7.3% and operating margin 14.7%.
Data as of .
Data gap
No usable data for: 4Q gross-margin change, Interest coverage. Data gap: no usable data for this factor, so it is left out and its weight is shared among the factors that do have data (no value is imputed). 88% of the full method weight is backed by data.
Analyst sentiment
weight 7.5% · 50| Consensus score (1–5) (3.8%) | derived | 62 |
| 90-day net rating shift (3.8%) | derived | 8 |
Growth
weight 30.83% · 49| Revenue growth YoY (TTM) (12.3%) | 7.3% | 53 |
| EPS growth YoY (TTM) (12.3%) | -2.7% | 33 |
| Revenue acceleration (6.2%) | 1.9% | 75 |
Profitability
weight 18.5% · 65| Operating margin (18.5%) | 14.7% | 65 |
| 4Q gross-margin change (0.0%)data gap | — | — |
Balance sheet
weight 18.5% · 49| Net debt / EBITDA (12.3%) | -0.10× | 67 |
| Current ratio (6.2%) | 0.72 | 14 |
| Interest coverage (0.0%)data gap | — | — |
Cash flow
weight 12.33% · 58| FCF margin (6.2%) | 12.1% | 77 |
| FCF yield (6.2%) | 3.8% | 39 |
Valuation
weight 12.33% · 25| P/E (inverted) (6.2%) | 27.42× | 28 |
| EV/Sales (inverted) (6.2%) | 3.03× | 22 |
Technicals (EOD)
| RSI(14) | 34.3 |
| EMA 9 / 21 | 30.80 / 31.80 |
| 200-day SMA | 34.55 |
| Volume vs 20d avg | 0.83× |
| 20-day return | -10.8% |
Exit-rule monitor
- EXITRating break: House Rating below 60
- WATCHAnalyst drift: net bullish ratings down ≥2 over ~90 days
- WATCHTrend: close below 200-day average
Data source per metric (SEC XBRL tag or derivation): Revenue: Revenues · Operating income: OperatingIncomeLoss · D&A: DepreciationDepletionAndAmortization · EPS: EarningsPerShareDiluted · Market cap: SEC shares (dei EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding (cover page)) (split-adjusted) × EOD close · P/E: EOD close ÷ SEC TTM EPS (EarningsPerShareDiluted) (split-adjusted).
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FAQ
- What is CMG's House Rating?
- CMG scores 50 out of 100 (grade C) as of 2026-10-16, ranking #23 of 128 Consumer Discretionary stocks we cover.
- What do analysts say about CMG?
- ThetaGrade's analyst-sentiment pillar for CMG scores 50/100 against its sector peers, which we read as mixed. This is our own derived score; we do not republish individual analyst ratings, counts or targets.
- When does CMG report earnings next?
- CMG's next earnings report is estimated for about 2026-10-28 (window 2026-10-21 to 2026-11-04), based on its past SEC 8-K earnings filings. This is an estimate, not a company-confirmed date.
- Is CMG a buy?
- ThetaGrade does not give personal advice. The House Rating is an educational, rules-based summary of public data; see the methodology for how it is built.
Sources: SEC EDGAR filings (fetched 2026-10-18), Finnhub recommendation trends, Massive EOD prices. Scores are sector percentiles; a factor without usable data is a data gap: it is left out and the remaining weights are renormalized (nothing is imputed). Educational only. Methodology