GEO GEO Group, Inc.data gap · 84% coverage
Industrials · Environmental & Facilities Services · close $28.66 (2026-10-16) · latest quarter in EDGAR: 2026-06-30
GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) has a ThetaGrade House Rating of 49/100 (grade D), ranking #167 of 202 in Industrials. Its strongest pillars are valuation (85) and growth (73); its weakest is cash flow (3). Data gap: 3 factors without usable data, so 84% of the method weight is covered. TTM revenue growth is 15.4% and operating margin 11.2%.
Data as of .
Data gap
No usable data for: Consensus score (1–5), 90-day net rating shift, 4Q gross-margin change. Data gap: no usable data for this factor, so it is left out and its weight is shared among the factors that do have data (no value is imputed). 84% of the full method weight is backed by data.
Analyst sentiment
weight 7.5% · no data · —| Consensus score (1–5) (0.0%)data gap | derived | — |
| 90-day net rating shift (0.0%)data gap | derived | — |
Growth
weight 30.83% (→33.3%) · 73| Revenue growth YoY (TTM) (13.3%) | 15.4% | 72 |
| EPS growth YoY (TTM) (13.3%) | 211.8% | 97 |
| Revenue acceleration (6.7%) | -1.6% | 26 |
Profitability
weight 18.5% (→20.0%) · 39| Operating margin (20.0%) | 11.2% | 39 |
| 4Q gross-margin change (0.0%)data gap | — | — |
Balance sheet
weight 18.5% (→20.0%) · 25| Net debt / EBITDA (10.7%) | 3.26× | 14 |
| Current ratio (5.3%) | 1.65 | 56 |
| Interest coverage (4.0%) | 1.97× | 11 |
Cash flow
weight 12.33% (→13.3%) · 3| FCF margin (6.7%) | -4.7% | 3 |
| FCF yield (6.7%) | -3.3% | 2 |
Valuation
weight 12.33% (→13.3%) · 85| P/E (inverted) (6.7%) | 13.52× | 96 |
| EV/Sales (inverted) (6.7%) | 1.85× | 74 |
Technicals (EOD)
| RSI(14) | 39.0 |
| EMA 9 / 21 | 30.40 / 30.78 · crossed up 5d ago |
| 200-day SMA | 23.71 |
| Volume vs 20d avg | 1.22× |
| 20-day return | -10.8% |
Exit-rule monitor
- EXITRating break: House Rating below 60
- EXITBalance-sheet stress: negative free cash flow (latest FY)
Data source per metric (SEC XBRL tag or derivation): Revenue: RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax · Operating income: OperatingIncomeLoss · Interest expense: InterestExpense · D&A: DepreciationDepletionAndAmortization · EPS: EarningsPerShareDiluted · Market cap: SEC shares (dei EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding (cover page)) × EOD close · P/E: EOD close ÷ SEC TTM EPS (EarningsPerShareDiluted).
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FAQ
- What is GEO's House Rating?
- GEO scores 49 out of 100 (grade D) as of 2026-10-16, ranking #167 of 202 Industrials stocks we cover.
- What do analysts say about GEO?
- We do not have enough analyst-sentiment data to score this stock.
- When does GEO report earnings next?
- We do not have a reliable estimate for GEO's next earnings date (irregular SEC filing history); a rough window is 2026-10-22 to 2026-11-19. Check the company's investor-relations page.
- Is GEO a buy?
- ThetaGrade does not give personal advice. The House Rating is an educational, rules-based summary of public data; see the methodology for how it is built.
Sources: SEC EDGAR filings (fetched 2026-10-18), Finnhub recommendation trends, Massive EOD prices. Scores are sector percentiles; a factor without usable data is a data gap: it is left out and the remaining weights are renormalized (nothing is imputed). Educational only. Methodology