UPS United Parcel Servicedata gap · 91% coverage
Industrials · Air Freight & Logistics · close $97.48 (2026-10-16) · latest quarter in EDGAR: 2026-06-30
United Parcel Service (UPS) has a ThetaGrade House Rating of 38/100 (grade D), ranking #62 of 202 in Industrials. Its strongest pillars are valuation (84) and analyst sentiment (50); its weakest is profitability (20). Data gap: 1 factor without usable data, so 91% of the method weight is covered. TTM revenue growth is -0.4% and operating margin 7.3%.
Data as of .
Data gap
No usable data for: 4Q gross-margin change. Data gap: no usable data for this factor, so it is left out and its weight is shared among the factors that do have data (no value is imputed). 91% of the full method weight is backed by data.
Analyst sentiment
weight 7.5% · 50| Consensus score (1–5) (3.8%) | derived | 18 |
| 90-day net rating shift (3.8%) | derived | 59 |
Growth
weight 30.83% · 27| Revenue growth YoY (TTM) (12.3%) | -0.4% | 8 |
| EPS growth YoY (TTM) (12.3%) | -19.8% | 16 |
| Revenue acceleration (6.2%) | 9.2% | 87 |
Profitability
weight 18.5% · 20| Operating margin (18.5%) | 7.3% | 20 |
| 4Q gross-margin change (0.0%)data gap | — | — |
Balance sheet
weight 18.5% · 30| Net debt / EBITDA (9.9%) | 2.12× | 29 |
| Current ratio (4.9%) | 1.18 | 24 |
| Interest coverage (3.7%) | 6.47× | 42 |
Cash flow
weight 12.33% · 48| FCF margin (6.2%) | 5.4% | 21 |
| FCF yield (6.2%) | 5.7% | 75 |
Valuation
weight 12.33% · 84| P/E (inverted) (6.2%) | 18.12× | 83 |
| EV/Sales (inverted) (6.2%) | 1.15× | 85 |
Technicals (EOD)
| RSI(14) | 53.4 |
| EMA 9 / 21 | 95.70 / 95.97 |
| 200-day SMA | 104.71 |
| Volume vs 20d avg | 1.05× |
| 20-day return | -2.7% |
Exit-rule monitor
- EXITRating break: House Rating below 60
- EXITFundamental miss: revenue growth negative YoY
- WATCHTrend: close below 200-day average
Data source per metric (SEC XBRL tag or derivation): Revenue: RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax · Operating income: OperatingIncomeLoss · Interest expense: InterestExpenseNonoperating · D&A: DepreciationDepletionAndAmortization · EPS: EarningsPerShareDiluted · Market cap: SEC shares (us-gaap weighted basic shares, latest quarter (proxy)) × EOD close · P/E: EOD close ÷ SEC TTM EPS (EarningsPerShareDiluted).
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FAQ
- What is UPS's House Rating?
- UPS scores 38 out of 100 (grade D) as of 2026-10-16, ranking #62 of 202 Industrials stocks we cover.
- What do analysts say about UPS?
- ThetaGrade's analyst-sentiment pillar for UPS scores 50/100 against its sector peers, which we read as mixed. This is our own derived score; we do not republish individual analyst ratings, counts or targets.
- When does UPS report earnings next?
- UPS's next earnings report is estimated for about 2026-10-27 (window 2026-10-22 to 2026-11-01), based on its past SEC 8-K earnings filings. This is an estimate, not a company-confirmed date.
- Is UPS a buy?
- ThetaGrade does not give personal advice. The House Rating is an educational, rules-based summary of public data; see the methodology for how it is built.
Sources: SEC EDGAR filings (fetched 2026-10-18), Finnhub recommendation trends, Massive EOD prices. Scores are sector percentiles; a factor without usable data is a data gap: it is left out and the remaining weights are renormalized (nothing is imputed). Educational only. Methodology